China - Superpower too soon

 

China's rise as a global power has been a significant development in recent decades. While there is no universally agreed-upon definition of a superpower, it generally refers to a nation with significant economic, political, military, and cultural influence on a global scale.

China's rapid economic growth, technological advancements, and increasing global influence have led to debates about its status as a superpower. The Chinese government, under the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party, has pursued policies and initiatives aimed at enhancing its international standing. These include initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative, increasing military spending, and projecting influence through various diplomatic and economic channels.

One more factor is playing here in China’s perception about its superpower status. Xi Jingping has declared that by 2037 China will become a unified superpower. Meaning China will capture Taiwan one way or the other. On this timeline the CCP has to move fast as war with Taiwan will have serious percussions for China. After observing the sanctions against Russia, it remains to be seen how Xi manages this timetable.

China has often been referred to as an emerging or rising power, but the term "superpower" carries a higher level of global influence and capabilities. Some argue that China has prematurely considered itself a superpower, given that it still faces challenges such as socio-economic disparities, environmental issues, and regional tensions.

However, it's worth noting that China's self-perception as a superpower is a complex issue with diverse perspectives. Some Chinese officials and scholars argue that China's historical legacy, population size, economic might, and technological advancements make it a legitimate contender for superpower status.

India is fast emerging as a serious contender to China. China’s declining population does not stand it in good stead to sustain a long growth period. Juxtaposed to this is India’s demographic dividend which is extremely favorable for growth if exploited properly.

One glaring deficiency of Chinese power has recently come to light. Satellite photos have revealed that the latest Chinese aircraft carrier, the Fujian, has been docked, with cracks visible on its landing deck. This has led many experts to conclude that the Chinese military power projection is just CCP propaganda for domestic consumption. China is unable to patrol the South China Sea, much less the entire Pacific as none of its carriers are available for service until next year.  

Ultimately, whether China is considered a superpower or not depends on various factors and can be a subject of debate. The global power dynamics are constantly evolving, and China's role in the international arena will continue to shape and be shaped by these changes.